In the autonomous driving testing methods based on evolving scenarios, the construction method of the driver model, which determines the driving maneuvers of background vehicles (BVs) in the scenario, plays a critical role in generating safety-critical scenarios. In particular, the cooperative adversarial driving characteristics between BVs can contribute to the efficient generation of safety-critical scenarios with high testing value. In this paper, a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) method is used to train and generate a dual-modal driver model (Dual-DM) with non-adversarial and adversarial driving modalities. The model is then connected to a continuous simulated traffic environment to generate complex, diverse and strong interactive safety-critical scenarios through evolving scenario generation method. After that, the generated evolving scenarios are evaluated in terms of fidelity, test efficiency, complexity and diversity. Results show that without performance degradation in scenario fidelity (>85% similarity to real-world scenarios) and complexity (complexity metric: 0.45, +32.35% and +12.5% over two baselines), Dual-DM achieves a substantial enhancement in the efficiency of generating safety-critical scenarios (efficiency metric: 0.86, +195% over two baselines). Furthermore, statistical analysis and case studies demonstrate the diversity of safety-critical evolving scenarios generated by Dual-DM in terms of the adversarial interaction patterns. Therefore, Dual-DM can greatly improve the performance of the generation of safety-critical scenarios through evolving scenario generation method.

Processes of evidence accumulation for motor control contribute to the ecological validity of driver models. According to established theories of cognition, drivers make control adjustments when a process of accumulation of perceptual inputs reaches a decision boundary. Unfortunately, there is not a standard way for building such models, limiting their use. Current implementations are hand-crafted, lack adaptability, and rely on inefficient optimization techniques that do not scale well with large datasets. This paper introduces Akkumula, an evidence accumulation modelling framework built using deep learning techniques to leverage established coding libraries, gradient optimization, and large batch training. The core of the library is based on Spiking Neural Networks, whose operation mimic the evidence accumulation process in the biological brain. The model was tested on data collected during a test-track experiment. Results are promising. The model fits well the time course of vehicle control (brake, accelerate, steering) based on vehicle sensor data. The perceptual inputs are extracted by a dedicated neural network, increasing the context-awareness of the model in dynamic scenarios. Akkumula integrates with existing machine learning architectures, benefits from continuous advancements in deep learning, efficiently processes large datasets, adapts to diverse driving scenarios, and maintains a degree of transparency in its core mechanisms.

Trajectory planning for automated vehicles commonly employs optimization over a moving horizon - Model Predictive Control - where the cost function critically influences the resulting driving style. However, finding a suitable cost function that results in a driving style preferred by passengers remains an ongoing challenge. We employ preferential Bayesian optimization to learn the cost function by iteratively querying a passenger's preference. Due to increasing dimensionality of the parameter space, preference learning approaches might struggle to find a suitable optimum with a limited number of experiments and expose the passenger to discomfort when exploring the parameter space. We address these challenges by incorporating prior knowledge into the preferential Bayesian optimization framework. Our method constructs a virtual decision maker from real-world human driving data to guide parameter sampling. In a simulation experiment, we achieve faster convergence of the prior-knowledge-informed learning procedure compared to existing preferential Bayesian optimization approaches and reduce the number of inadequate driving styles sampled.

Simulation plays a crucial role in the rapid development and safe deployment of autonomous vehicles. Realistic traffic agent models are indispensable for bridging the gap between simulation and the real world. Many existing approaches for imitating human behavior are based on learning from demonstration. However, these approaches are often constrained by focusing on individual training strategies. Therefore, to foster a broader understanding of realistic traffic agent modeling, in this paper, we provide an extensive comparative analysis of different training principles, with a focus on closed-loop methods for highway driving simulation. We experimentally compare (i) open-loop vs. closed-loop multi-agent training, (ii) adversarial vs. deterministic supervised training, (iii) the impact of reinforcement losses, and (iv) the impact of training alongside log-replayed agents to identify suitable training techniques for realistic agent modeling. Furthermore, we identify promising combinations of different closed-loop training methods.

Uncertainties in dynamic road environments pose significant challenges for behavior and trajectory planning in autonomous driving. This paper introduces BoT-Drive, a planning algorithm that addresses uncertainties at both behavior and trajectory levels within a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) framework. BoT-Drive employs driver models to characterize unknown behavioral intentions and utilizes their model parameters to infer hidden driving styles. By also treating driver models as decision-making actions for the autonomous vehicle, BoT-Drive effectively tackles the exponential complexity inherent in POMDPs. To enhance safety and robustness, the planner further applies importance sampling to refine the driving trajectory conditioned on the planned high-level behavior. Evaluation on real-world data shows that BoT-Drive consistently outperforms both existing planning methods and learning-based methods in regular and complex urban driving scenes, demonstrating significant improvements in driving safety and reliability.

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the right of way, is often handled implicitly in the prediction. However, an infrastructure-based maneuver planning can assign artificial priorities between cooperative vehicles, so it needs to evaluate many more potential scenarios. Additionally, the prediction horizon has to be long enough to assess the impact of a maneuver. We, therefore, present a novel long-term prediction approach handling the gap acceptance estimation and the velocity prediction in two separate stages. Thereby, the behavior of regular vehicles as well as priority assignments of cooperative vehicles can be considered. We train both stages on real-world traffic observations to achieve realistic prediction results. Our method has a competitive accuracy and is fast enough to predict a multitude of scenarios in a short time, making it suitable to be used in a maneuver planning framework.

The rapid development of automated driving systems in recent years has led to improvements in road safety and travel comfort. One typical function of these systems is Lane Keep Assist, which generally does not take human driving preferences into account. In our previous work, we have demonstrated that it is possible to implement a Lane Keep Assist function that is appropriate to human preferences using a trajectory planning algorithm based on a linear driving model. In our current work, we investigated how to separate the driving styles of individual drivers. We assumed that there are three driving styles: sporty, neutral and defensive. To prove these relations, clustering methods were applied to previously recorded measurements . Simulations with parameters describing the average behaviour of the classes (re-simulated with clustered types) showed that the resulting paths successfully classified drivers, that the 3 classes are distinct in their behaviour and that our model reproduces these behaviours.

Driver models play a vital role in developing and verifying autonomous vehicles (AVs). Previously, they are mainly applied in traffic flow simulation to model driver behavior. With the development of AVs, driver models attract much attention again due to their potential contributions to AV safety assessment. The simulation-based testing method is an effective measure to accelerate AV testing due to its safe and efficient characteristics. Nonetheless, realistic driver models are prerequisites for valid simulation results. Additionally, an AV is assumed to be at least as safe as a careful and competent driver, which is modeled by driver models as well. Therefore, driver models are essential for AV safety assessment from the current perspective. However, no comparison or discussion of driver models is available regarding their utility to AVs in the last five years despite their necessities in the release of AVs. This motivates us to present a comprehensive survey of driver models in the paper and compare their applicability. Requirements for driver models as applied to AV safety assessment are discussed. A summary of driver models for simulation-based testing and AV benchmarks is provided. Evaluation metrics are defined to compare their strength and weakness. Finally, potential gaps in existing driver models are identified, which provide direction for future work. This study gives related researchers especially regulators an overview and helps them to define appropriate driver models for AVs.

Traffic simulation software is used by transportation researchers and engineers to design and evaluate changes to roadways. These simulators are driven by models of microscopic driver behavior from which macroscopic measures like flow and congestion can be derived. Many models are designed for a subset of possible traffic scenarios and roadway configurations, while others have no explicit constraints on their application. Work zones (WZs) are one scenario for which no model to date has reproduced realistic driving behavior. This makes it difficult to optimize for safety and other metrics when designing a WZ. The Federal Highway Administration commissioned the USDOT Volpe Center to develop a car-following (CF) model for use in microscopic simulators that can capture and reproduce driver behavior accurately within and outside of WZs. Volpe also performed a naturalistic driving study to collect telematics data from vehicles driven on roads with WZs for use in model calibration. During model development, Volpe researchers observed difficulties in calibrating their model, leaving them to question whether there existed flaws in their model, in the data, or in the procedure used to calibrate the model using the data. In this thesis, I use Bayesian methods for data analysis and parameter estimation to explore and, where possible, address these questions. First, I use Bayesian inference to measure the sufficiency of the size of the data set. Second, I compare the procedure and results of the genetic algorithm based calibration performed by the Volpe researchers with those of Bayesian calibration. Third, I explore the benefits of modeling CF hierarchically. Finally, I apply what was learned in the first three phases using an established CF model, Wiedemann 99, to the probabilistic modeling of the Volpe model. Validation is performed using information criteria as an estimate of predictive accuracy.

Interaction between the background vehicles (BVs) and automated vehicles (AVs) in scenario-based testing plays a critical role in evaluating the intelligence of the AVs. Current testing scenarios typically employ predefined or scripted BVs, which inadequately reflect the complexity of human-like social behaviors in real-world driving scenarios, and also lack a systematic metric for evaluating the comprehensive intelligence of AVs. Therefore, this paper proposes an evolving scenario generation method that utilizes deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to create human-like BVs for testing and intelligence evaluation of AVs. Firstly, a class of driver models with human-like competitive, cooperative, and mutual driving motivations is designed. Then, utilizing an improved "level-k" training procedure, the three distinct driver models acquire game-based interactive driving policies. And these models are assigned to BVs for generating evolving scenarios in which all BVs can interact continuously and evolve diverse contents. Next, a framework including safety, driving efficiency, and interaction utility are presented to evaluate and quantify the intelligence performance of 3 systems under test (SUTs), indicating the effectiveness of the evolving scenario for intelligence testing. Finally, the complexity and fidelity of the proposed evolving testing scenario are validated. The results demonstrate that the proposed evolving scenario exhibits the highest level of complexity compared to other baseline scenarios and has more than 85% similarity to naturalistic driving data. This highlights the potential of the proposed method to facilitate the development and evaluation of high-level AVs in a realistic and challenging environment.